An increasingly conservative GOP in Pennsylvania could hurt Sen. Arlen Specter’s (R., Pa.) chances for re-election in 2010. The state has trended Democrat in recent elections, and the party has a 1.2 million statewide advantage in voter registrations. Last year, 239,000 Republicans switched parties, and a recent poll indicates that most of these defectors are moderates – voters who have historically comprised the core of Specter’s support. Specter will likely face a strong challenge from former Rep. Pat Toomey, a conservative popular with the more conservative GOP electorate in Pennsylvania.
Specter has long had a rocky relationship with the conservative wing of the GOP. The latest flare-up stems from his support of the stimulus. He was one of only three Republican senators – and the only one up for re-election in 2010 – to back it.
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